Salta al menu principale di navigazione Salta al contenuto principale Salta al piè di pagina del sito
FrancoAngeli Journals

Articles

Online First

Threats and dangers to economic security of Ukraine in the terms of war

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3280/riss2025oa19683
Inviata
marzo 11, 2025
Pubblicato
2025-08-07

Abstract

The article is devoted to the issue of identification and systematization of risks and threats to the economic security of Ukraine in the terms of war, considering their hierarchical nature, according to which the economic security of the state is the foundation. Based on the indicator method, threats with the maximum level of influence on economic and social security have been identified, and their dynamics over recent years have been analyzed. Risks and threats to the economic security of Ukraine are systematized by spheres and the level of influence on target security parameters. The influence of war criminals on environmental safety has been investigated and the existence of interdependence of environmental threats with indicators of economic safety has been proven. The need to include indicators of environmental threats in the system of indicators of the economic security of the state is substantiated, considering the complexity of their action. The study aims to identify the principal threats and risks to Ukraine’s socio-economic security under martial law, assess their implications for macroeconomic indicators and social dynamics, and propose strategies to mitigate these challenges. It explores the concepts of risks and threats as fundamental elements of economic security, emphasizing their interrelation, where risks represent the likelihood of adverse outcomes and threats signify potential harm to the economic system caused by internal or external factors.

Riferimenti bibliografici

  1. Aviv I. & Ferri U. (2023). Russian-Ukrainian armed conflict: Lessons learnt on the digital ecosystem. International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, 43, 100637. Doi: 10.1016/j.ijcip.2023.100637.
  2. Baranovsky O. (2014). The philosophy of security. Kyiv, Ukraine: UBS.
  3. Barbieri Y. (2022). Supporting Ukraine’s victory, success, and European integration as a safeguard to Europe’s future security, prosperity, and resilience. SCEEUS Guest Platform for Eastern Europe Policy No. 19. Stockholm: Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies.
  4. Dunaiev I. V. & Orlov O. V. (2023). National legal regulation of the digital economy and information platforms. Actual Problems of Public Administration, 1(62): 6-21. Doi: 10.26565/1684-8489-2023-1-01.
  5. Eco Threat (n.d). Dashboard with data on environmental threats. -- Retrieved from https://ecozagroza.gov.ua/?fbclid=IwAR3r38cnbG48KlCl1P1tktgIIaKnj7UoPWkVt7fpd3pfR8VPIGzjoieEROA.
  6. Fitch Ratings (2022). Fitch Downgrades Ukraine to “C”. -- Retrieved from https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-downgrades-ukraine-to-c-22-07-2022.
  7. Heiets V. M. (1999). The concept of economic security of Ukraine. Kyiv, Ukraine: Lohos.
  8. Kovalenko M., Sobol R., Vanina Y., Berlizova V., & Sobol M. (2024). Digitalization of regional economy as a public administration approach in stimulating socio-economic development regional of Ukraine. Theory and Practice of Public Administration, 1(78): 70-99. Doi: 10.26565/1727-6667-2024-1-05.
  9. Krasnobayev V., Yanko A., & Hlushko A. (2023). Information security of the National Economy based on an effective data control method. Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy. 14(3): 1-25. Doi: 10.1142/S1793993323500217.
  10. Kyiv School of Economics (2022). Direct damage caused to Ukraine’s infrastructure during the war has reached over $110.4 bln, minimum recovery needs for destroyed assets – $188 bln. -- Retrieved from https://kse.ua/ua/about-the-school/news/zagalna-suma-pryamih-zadokumentovanih-zbitkiv-infrastrukturi-skladaye-110-4-mlrd-minimalni-potrebi-u-vidnovlenni-zruynovanih-aktiviv-zrosli-do-188-mlrd/.
  11. Liu L., & An S. (2023). Deindustrialisation and the incidence of poverty: Empirical evidence from developing countries. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 187. Doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2022.122202.
  12. Maltsev O. & Shevchenko M. (2021). The genesis of security. Scientific Journal “Newsletter on the results of scholarly work in sociology, criminology, philosophy and political science”, 2(1): 8-15. Doi: 10.61439/VEXY8177.
  13. Milka A., Artyukh-Pasiuta O., & Kononenko Z. (2023). Methodological approaches to assessing the level of economic security of the enterprise. Economics, Finance and Management Review, 4(16): 20-30. Doi: 10.36690/2674-5208-2023-4-20-30.
  14. National Risk Assessment (2019). The National Network of Safety and Security Analysts 2019. -- Retrieved from https://english.nctv.nl/documents/publications/ 2019/09/18/dutch-national-risk-assessment.
  15. Onishchenko S., Matkovskyi A., & Puhach A. (2014). Analysis of threats to economic security of Ukraine in conditions of innovative economic development. Economic Annals, XXI, 1-2(2): 8-11. -- https://ea21journal.world/ index.php/ea-v138-02/.
  16. Onyshchenko S. V. (2016). Financial globalization as a complex integrated objective process. Problems and Prospects of Economics and Management: Scientific Journal, 4(8): 126-135.
  17. Onyshchenko S. V., Masliy O. A., & Buriak A. A. (2023a). Threats and risks of ecological and economic security of Ukraine in the conditions of war. In: Proceedings of the 17th International Conference Monitoring of Geological Processes and Ecological Condition of the Environment (pp. 1-5). European Association of Geoscientists & Engineers. Doi: 10.3997/2214-4609.2023520072.
  18. Onyshchenko S., Hlushko A., Kivshyk O., & Sokolov A. (2021). The shadow economy as a threat to the economic security of the state. Economics of Development, 20(4): 24-30. Doi: 10.57111/econ.20(4).2021.24-30.
  19. Onyshchenko S., Hlushko A., Maslii O., & Skryl V. (2022a). Risks and threats to economic security of enterprises in the construction industry under pandemic conditions. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, 181: 711-724. Doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-85043-2_66.
  20. Onyshchenko S., Maslii O., Kivshyk O., & Cherviak A. (2023b). The Impact of the Insurance Market on the Financial Security of Ukraine. Financial and Credit Activity: Problems of Theory and Practice, 1(48): 268-281. Doi: 10.55643/fcaptp.1.48.2023.3976.
  21. Onyshchenko S., Skryl V., Hlushko A., & Maslii O. (2023c). Inclusive Development Index. In: V. Onyshchenko, G. Mammadova, S. Sivitska, & A. Gasimov (Eds.). KYRSIV Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Building Innovations, Vol 299. KYRSIV Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering (pp 779-790). Germany: Springer.
  22. Onyshchenko S., Yanko A., Hlushko A., Maslii O., & Cherviak A. (2023d). Cybersecurity and improvement of the information security system. Journal of the Balkan Tribological Association, 29(5): 818-835.
  23. Onyshchenko S., Yanko A., Hlushko A., & Maslii O. (2023e). Economic cyber security of business in Ukraine: Strategic directions and implementation mechanism. Economic and cyber security, 30-58. Doi: 10.15587/978-617-7319-98-5.CH2.
  24. Onyshchenko V., Onyshchenko S., Maslii O., & Maksymenko A. (2023f). Systematization of threats to financial security of individual, society, business and the state in terms of the pandemic. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, 299: 749-760. Doi: 10.1007/978-3-031-17385-1_63.
  25. Onyshchenko V., Yehorycheva S., Maslii O., & Yurkiv N. (2022b). Impact of innovation and digital technologies on the financial security of the state. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, 181: 749-759. Doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-85043-2_69.
  26. President of Ukraine (2021). Decree of the President of Ukraine “On the decision of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine “On the Strategy of the Economic Security of Ukraine for the period until 2025.” -- Retrieved from https://www.president.gov.ua/documents/3472021-39613.
  27. Reznikova O., Voitovskyi K., & Lepikhov A. (2020). National risk and threat assessment systems: world best practices, new opportunities for Ukraine. Kyiv, Ukraine: NISS.
  28. Robertson R. (1992) Globalization: Social Theory and Global Culture. London, England: Sage.
  29. Samusevych Y., Vysochyna A., Vasylieva T., Lyeonov S., & Pokhylko S. (2021). Environmental, energy and economic security: Assessment and interaction. E3S Web of Conferences, 234: 1-7. Doi: 10.1051/e3sconf/202123400012.
  30. SaveEcoBot (n.d). War crimes against the environment of Ukraine. -- Retrieved from https://www.saveecobot.com/en/features/environmental-crimes.
  31. Skoruk O. V. (2016). Economic security of the state: Essence, components, and problems of provision. Scientific Bulletin of Uzhhorod National University, Series: International Economic Relations and Global Economy, 6(3): 39-42.
  32. Solingen E. (2017). Comparative regionalism: economics and security. London, England: Routledge.
  33. Strelets R. (2022). Time bomb: why the world cannot ignore the environmental consequences of the war in Ukraine. -- Retrieved from https://life.pravda.com.ua/columns/2022/06/22/249216/.
  34. Theo B. (2022). Economic security: A need for a renewed global effort. -- Retrieved from: https://www.chathamhouse.org/2022/03/economic-security-need-renewed-global-effort.
  35. Utenkova K. (2019). Economic security as a component of Ukraine’s national security. The Journal of V. N. Karazin Kharkiv National University. Series: International Relations. Economics. Country Studies. Tourism, 9: 133-144. Doi: 10.26565/2310-9513-2019-9-17.
  36. Varnaliy Z. (2020). Economic and financial security of Ukraine in the conditions of globalization. Kyiv, Ukraine: Znannia Ukrainy.
  37. Vyhor B. (2022). Environmental safety should become part of the security paradigm of Ukraine. -- Retrieved from https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-society/ 3578052-ekologicna-bezpeka-mae-stati-castinou-bezpekovoi-paradigmi-ukraini-ekspert.html.
  38. Waters, M. (1995). Globalization. London, England: Routledge.
  39. Yelizarov, O. V., & Radchenko, O. V. (2019). Social and economic security of Ukraine: Strategic priorities and doctrinal provisions. Bulletin of the National University of Civil Protection of Ukraine, Series: Public Administration, 2: 147-154.

Metriche

Caricamento metriche ...